CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Market information: US President Biden seeks to veto once and for all the merger of Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) and American Steel Company (X).Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.
The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, Google rose more than 5%, and the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Chinese stocks fell collectively, with the China ETF falling nearly 13% when it tripled its wealth, and the Nasdaq China Jinlong Index falling more than 4%. Chip stocks generally fell, Micron Technology fell nearly 5%, Broadcom and TSMC fell nearly 4%, Intel fell more than 3%, and NVIDIA and Qualcomm fell nearly 3%. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell by 6.68%, and its revenue in the second quarter and performance guidance in this quarter fell short of expectations. Google rose by 5.59%, and the company launched the latest quantum chip "Willow" to achieve a major technological breakthrough.The United States has approved the sale of arms facilities worth nearly 600 million US dollars to Kuwait and Ukraine. The US Department of Defense said in a statement that the State Council has approved the sale of vehicle maintenance equipment with an estimated value of 300 million US dollars to Kuwait. On the same day, it also approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of US$ 266.4 million.NASDAQ China Jinlong Index closed down 4.3%, Tiger Securities fell over 14%, NASDAQ China Jinlong Index fell over 4.34%, popular Chinese stocks fell collectively, Tiger Securities fell over 14%, Futu Holdings fell over 11%, Bili Bili fell over 11%, Weilai fell over 7%, Xpeng Motors fell over 6%, Pinduoduo and LI fell over 5%, Netease, JD.COM and Baidu fell over 5%.
Non-performing loan intermediaries have drawn a clear line between banks to prevent "endorsement". Recently, many banks have issued statements to "clear the relationship" with loan intermediaries. On December 9 alone, many banks, such as Taiyuan Rural Commercial Bank, Chifeng Yuanbaoshan Rural Commercial Bank and Xintian Rural Bank of Xinjiang County, issued statements that they had not cooperated with any intermediary in loan business. The insiders believe that at present, when banks are preparing for a "good start" in the coming year, some banks' grass-roots institutions or account managers privately increase cooperation with loan intermediaries in order to achieve performance indicators. Formal loan intermediaries help banks get customers and live customers, but non-performing loan intermediaries are mixed in the market, and their non-compliance practices make consumer complaints frequent and bring reputation risks to banks. (CSI)US Treasury Secretary Yellen: I also expressed my concern about fiscal responsibility. We need to cut the deficit. I hope that Congress can try to pay for any extension of Trump's personal tax cuts passed in 2017.The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13